MACRO REGIME EXPANSION CAVIAR CYCLE PHASE C CROSS-ASSET SIGNALS LIQUIDITY CYCLE TRACKING REGIME-AWARE POSITIONING TRADE SIGNALS LIVE STAGFLATION PHASE B DEFLATION PHASE A REFLATION PHASE C MACRO REGIME EXPANSION CAVIAR CYCLE PHASE C CROSS-ASSET SIGNALS LIQUIDITY CYCLE TRACKING REGIME-AWARE POSITIONING TRADE SIGNALS LIVE STAGFLATION PHASE B DEFLATION PHASE A REFLATION PHASE C
INDEPENDENT MACRO RESEARCH DESK
Macro Research.
Trade Signals.
Precisely Timed.
Caviar Group is a specialized macro research desk tracking regime shifts, liquidity cycles, and cross-asset signals. Designed to identify high-conviction opportunities across all market environments.
4
MACRO REGIMES
24
CYCLE PHASES
1
FRAMEWORK

Trade Signals. real-time.


Past alerts that made a difference — real trades, real results, all timestamped in Caviar Group Discord.

WHAT YOU GET
Everything inside the desk.
01
High-Conviction Alerts. Institutional-Style Execution.
Signals posted instantly to the alert feed and private Discord channels. Each signal is selective, clearly structured, and executed with conviction, not hope.
02
Live Chat and Market Intelligence Feed
Live trade discussion, watch-lists, morning briefs, setup breakdowns, and real-time commentary in the private Discord. The context behind every signal, as it happens.
03
Direct Access to the Desk
Get inside the thinking behind every trade. Question the setup, challenge the thesis, and follow the positioning decisions as they develop in real time.

Most services just signal spam. We’d rather provide opportunities with conviction. Success requires more than just entry prices; it requires an understanding of how markets actually move. The Caviar Cycle framework reveals the mechanics behind the madness, arming you with the institutional perspective required to trade with an edge.

THE CAVIAR CYCLE
One framework. Four regimes.
Every macro environment fits into one of four phases. We track the transitions so you're positioned before the move.
EXPANSION
Growth & Risk-On
PHASE A
Where Real Assets Lead
PHASE B
🔒 Members only
PHASE C — F
🔒 Members only
STAGFLATION
Inflation & Risk-Off
PHASE A
Inflation Shock & Commodity Breakout
PHASE B
🔒 Members only
PHASE C — F
🔒 Members only
DEFLATION
Contraction & Risk-Off
PHASE A
Deflation Shock / Early Risk Aversion
PHASE B
🔒 Members only
PHASE C — F
🔒 Members only
REFLATION
Recovery & Risk-On
PHASE A
Early Liquidity Infusion / Risk Reversal
PHASE B
🔒 Members only
PHASE C — F
🔒 Members only
MEMBERSHIP
Join the desk.
Trade the cycle.
Founding member pricing is locked in for life. This rate won't be available once the initial cohort closes.
FOUNDING MEMBER
$19.99
/ month
FOUNDING RATE — LOCKED FOR LIFE
Alert Feed — curated trade ideas delivered in real time, separate from Discord
Caviar Cycle Playbook — full 24 phase macro framework for reading regimes and positioning with the cycle
Macro Regime Updates — know the current conditions shaping every opportunity
Discord Commentary and Community — live signal reasoning, setup breakdowns, and an active community exchanging insights in real time
Direct Access to the Desk — question the setup, challenge the thesis, follow positioning decisions as they develop
Morning Briefs and Watch-lists — daily market intelligence before the open